Archives For Typhoon

Haiyan officially deadliest storm in Philippines history with 5209 people killed.

Some 30 storms of varying intensity have formed in the Western Pacific region in 2013 and nearly 10 of these have crossed the Philippines or come near. People in the Philippines and this part of the Pacific are entirely used to tropical cyclones which is perhaps why so many so sadly did not heed warnings this time, choosing instead to sit it out in their homes. It is also dreadfully ironic that perhaps the welcome recent expansion of a more populous middle class in LIC’s such as the Philippines meant that people may possibly have felt safer in their new concrete homes than they may previously would have done in simpler shacks or self-built dwellings.  The storm surge would have meant they were trapped in a deadly and terrifying “washing machine” inside their own home rather than making the journey to shelters on higher ground given the warnings to evacuate low lying coastal districts. This, of course, is unsupported conjecture but was mentioned today by a previous resident of Tacloban interviewed on BBC Radio 4.

Haiyan was spotted before the 3 November when a cluster of intense thunderstorms began to rotate near the central Pacific Micronesia islands. At this point it became a Tropical depression, the weakest status for a cyclone. Rotation is the precursor for hurricane formation which is why hurricanes / typhoons never occur on the Equator due to the zero Coriolis (spinning effect) near the low latitudes.
During the next 3 days the storm traveled 2000 miles to the west, varying in intensity but staying below supertyphoon status. Nevertheless, the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre based in Pearl Harbour was monitoring it and several storm chasers and camera crews chose to fly direct to the line of fire in Tacloban. 

So, the Philippines may have been unlucky this time because the Haiyan / Yolanda reached maximum intensity as a Cat 5 supertyphoon just before it made landfall and, due to the very warm sea surface temperatures to the east of the Philippines at the end of the summer, it did not weaken at all.
This led to the ferocious winds exceeding gusts of 200 mph and massive storm surge of some 6m that hit Tacloban and regions around there.

On the other hand, if Haiyan had been a terrorist attack: we knew his precise location, direction and potential threat several DAYS beforehand and we knew that Tacloban was staring down the barrel of this most unprecedented attack at least 48 hours before Haiyan unleashed with such ferocity.

With masses of technology already invested in weather prediction, the challenge for this century is to get appropriate, meaningful and timely warnings to people on the ground so they can react accordingly.  This will mean education and responsible leadership.

Tacloban and the Philippines more widely, is known to be exposed to the potential for typhoon damage, they experience storms frequently. Nevetherless, it is the lack of human planning and preparation that made her so vulnerable this time.

The picture below of the father carrying his child is so distressing that it should perhaps not be on this blog, but it might help us to understand the immeasurable impact this massive storm has had on real people.  Social media has made the world SO small now, allowing us to communicate with and get to know more about individuals who live across the planet than sometimes live across the street. It means that the people in these photos should, more than ever, be seen as our neighbours.

Here is an excellent explanation from the BBC
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-24905945

More on hurricane / typhoon formation here: this is old but a good outline of hurricane formation:

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/nov/12/typhoon-haiyan-survivors-scramble-to-escape-from-ravaged-tac?CMP=twt_fd

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303914304579193971305978200?mod=e2tw

12-11-2013 20-59-18

13-11-2013 17-01-47

Notes and links on RESPONSES and more long term impacts

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-24927349

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24936249

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-24936387

6 days later:

PH Govt now facing criticism as “despair and chaos” descend over Tacloban and effected areas.

Tonnes of aid remains undelivered due to Govt inefficiency? No large scale food distribution until now.

US Military / US Marine Corps arrive in force with aircraft carrier George Washington and other vessels with helicopters to rapidly deliver aid.  US have taken control. There is a dramatic change on the streets with dead being collected now, 6 Days later.

14-11-2013 07-39-09

donations

$5m Canada

$10m UK http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24906526

15-11-2013 06-58-54 15-11-2013 07-00-06

A superb article here : are events like Haiyan just “acts of God” or partly “acts of Man”? http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/nov/14/typhoon-haiyan-philippines-disasters-act-of-god

http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/TC-2013-000139-PHL_snapshot_131115.pdf

16-11-2013 10-24-05Fear of disease: mass vaccination program of 33000 children started in Tacloban amongst fears of cholera epidemic threat in devastated city.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-25102286

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-25092026

Psychological damage http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-25047459

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-25051606

Good summary on management of aftermath and aid and reconstruction: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-24927349 http://ph.news.yahoo.com/philippines-typhoon-survivors-determined-hope-064404511.html

storm surge science http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2013/12/02/storm-surge-science-the-funneling-effect-in-typhoon-haiyan-and-tacloban-video/

https://medium.com/humanitarian-work/d8763ffbd64a

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/relief-efforts-begin-after-philippine-typhoon-0

http://www.mapaction.org/deployments/depldetail/224.html

http://google.org/crisismap/a/gmail.com/TyphoonYolanda

http://www.ndrrmc.gov.ph/index.php

http://www.mapaction.org/component/mapcat/maps.html?deployment_filter=224&section=2

http://giscorps.maps.arcgis.com/apps/OnePane/basicviewer/index.html?appid=cf6031322a334cc3bfe3f9a74f23b384

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/relief-efforts-begin-after-philippine-typhoon-0

ONGOING UPDATES ADDED TO THIS PAGE: THIS IS NOW THE MOST INTENSE TYPHOON TO MAKE LANDFALL IN HISTORY WITH 230MPH GUSTS MADE LANDFALL ON THE PHILIPPINES COAST FRIDAY 7 OCTOBER 2013… THINK OF PEOPLE THERE AND HOPE THEY ARE MAKING THEMSELVES SAFE.

STORM STATS TO DATE…(10/11/2013) President declares “state of national calamity”

Latest 15/11/2013 PH Gvt website and BBC  5000 dead; 3853 injured; 921,000 displaced; 243,000 homes destroyed

At least 2 million families (11.8 million people) in 51 cities; 1444 evacuation centres. Estimated $4billion damages to PH

http://www.humanityroad.org/situation-report

LATEST FROM BBC NEWS

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-24878801

This page has essentially become a chronological scrap-blog of emerging information from the pre-storm warnings to the immediate post-disaster phase. Scroll down for maps, sat pics, videos and photos and links as they were forthcoming during the storm.  Live information from web sources including twitter and facebook direct from chase teams and embedded weather journalists as well as local Philippino sources traversed by the eye wall are included. This video was shot for CNN by storm chaser James Reynolds @typhoonfury who went to Tacloban knowing the eye wall would cross directly over.

This is an historic tropical cyclone: a truly huge storm and the strongest in recorded history with devastating impacts emerging from the areas hit by the hurricane eye, such as Tacloban City, Leyte and S Samar.  (Typhoon Tip was the previous record breaking strongest storm). Several extreme storm chasers and journalists embedded themselves into the path of the EYE WALL including James Reynolds @typhoonfury and Jim Edds @ExtremeStorms bringing up-close and personal stories of the true horrifying nature of the storm and the terrible aftermath now unfolding.

(LIVE now a recording offline COVERAGE OF LANDFALL http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SrEVLCbAfys&app=desktop)

LIVE BBC COVERAGE http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WCiYEBAooZo

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/nov/08/typhoon-haiyan-batters-philippines

https://www.facebook.com/iCyclone

A major super typhoon with winds gusting more than 200mph has emerged out of the NW Pacific and is on track to cross the Philippines at the end of this week. With 175 mph sustained maximum winds this is the most powerful storm this year and, were it an Atlantic Hurricane, it would be about the most powerful on record. Although it will weaken slightly when it crosses land, it is still an exceptionally dangerous storm and a great threat because the Philippines is a densely populated country and, while the capital Manila will not receive a direct hit, some 10 million people in Luzon are in the area predicted for Haiyan to make first landfall.  The storm is then predicted to track rapidly across to Vietnam where it will arrive on Sunday, possibly still as a strong typhoon.

Update: poss most powerful landfall typhoon ever: off the NOAA Dvorak instensity scale http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html

It was a FAST moving storm and the eye passed over Guiuan district and Tacloban City in just a few hours but the impact was immense.

“The typhoon moved fast and didn’t last long– only a few hours– but it struck the city with absolutely terrifying ferocity.”

The last tweet from storm journalist Jim Edds in Tacloban was sent just before the eye wall hit and then..nothing. He and other extreme film makers were reported safe and evacuated later

http://stormvisuals.com/florida-weather/2013/11/7/video-storm-photographer-awaits-super-typhoon-haiyan-in-the.html

http://stormvisuals.com/florida-weather/2013/11/10/video-storm-photographer-shares-experience-with-deadly-typho.html

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/super-typhoon-haiyan-a-serious/19561621


http://www.news.com.au/world/super-typhoon-haiyan-gaining-strength-set-to-hit-philippines/story-fndir2ev-1226755411772

http://news.sky.com/story/1165530/super-typhoon-haiyan-hits-the-philippines

IF the typhoon had passed over Europe… how big would it be?

09-11-2013 10-52-55

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/typhoon-haiyan-most-powerful-storm-to-ever-hit-land-batters-philippines-with-235mph-winds-8926719.html

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

Instagram videos of destruction in Tacloban http://instagram.com/macmaloon



http://www.rappler.com/nation/43285-initial-reports-damage-tacloban-city
http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/super-typhoon-haiyan-latest-news-20131108?hootPostID=de00db08af5507b1944839bc6c86d92a
http://www.westernpacificweather.com/2013/11/08/typhoon-haiyan-photo-and-video-gallery/

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/asia-pacific/2013/11/thousands-feared-killed-philippine-typhoon-2013119131138727893.html

09-11-2013 11-57-16


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2494635/Philippines-super-typhoon-Haiyan-powerful-storm-history.html?ITO=1490&ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

Morgerman posted this harrowing report on Facebook:

First off, Tacloban City is devastated. The city is a horrid landscape of smashed buildings and completely defoliated trees, with widespread looting and unclaimed bodies decaying in the open air. The typhoon moved fast and didn’t last long– only a few hours– but it struck the city with absolutely terrifying ferocity. At the height of the storm, as the wind rose to a scream, as windows exploded and as our solid-concrete downtown hotel trembled from the impact of flying debris, as pictures blew off the walls and as children became hysterical, a tremendous storm surge swept the entire downtown. Waterfront blocks were reduced to heaps of rubble. In our hotel, trapped first-floor guests smashed the windows of their rooms to keep from drowning and screamed for help, and we had to drop our cameras and pull them out on mattresses and physically carry the elderly and disabled to the second floor. Mark’s leg was ripped open by a piece of debris and he’ll require surgery. The city has no communication with the outside world. The hospitals are overflowing with the critically injured. The surrounding communities are mowed down. After a bleak night in a hot, pitch-black, trashed hotel, James, Mark, and I managed to get out of the city on a military chopper and get to Cebu via a C-130– sitting next to corpses in body bags. Meteorologically, Super Typhoon HAIYAN was fascinating; from a human-interest standpoint, it was utterly ghastly. It’s been difficult to process.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2013/11/09/disaster-in-tacloban-philippines-chasers-document-ghastly-scene-from-typhoon/
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/16aq0AH-OnEE_bM53iL5qInqHPZ28lntEXPs-rS01a88/viewform

http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/regions/11/09/13/massive-destruction-tacloban-city
http://www.itv.com/news/story/2013-11-07/super-typhoon-haiyan-philippines/
http://www.rappler.com/nation/43311-diary-tacloban-death-anarchy
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-57611622/typhoon-haiyans-death-toll-rises-in-philippines/

http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/524159/1200-believed-dead-in-philippine-typhoon-red-cross

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/one-of-worlds-strongest-storms-lashes-philippines-but-nation-appears-to-avoid-major-disaster/2013/11/08/2d7c164e-48d8-11e3-95a9-3f15b5618ba8_story_1.html
09-11-2013 19-16-12

09-11-2013 16-19-09

Damage far worse than people thought: http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/recent-tropical-cyclones-killed-over-one-thousand-20131109?hootPostID=774277f3e615bfd5c5f0a71157fbfab7
http://earthsky.org/earth/incredible-images-and-video-of-super-typhoon-haiyan

http://ph.news.yahoo.com/super-typhoon-haiyan-hits-philippines-230815112.html


Massive online efforts from PH govt to help aid and search and rescue efforts: http://www.gov.ph/crisis-response/updates-typhoon-yolanda/
http://www.gov.ph/crisis-response/updates-typhoon-yolanda/
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-24887337
http://www.itv.com/news/story/2013-11-07/super-typhoon-haiyan-philippines/
http://edition.cnn.com/video/data/2.0/video/world/2013/11/10/natpkg-philippines-typhoon-storm-chaser.james-reynolds-uncut-productions.html
http://www.gov.ph/2013/11/10/ndrrmc-data-report-per-province-november-10-2013/
http://anc.yahoo.com/video/pnp-explains-why-looting-never-015407805.html
600,000 people evacuated from Vietnam and Hainan as Yolanda Haiyan arppaches Sunday 10/11/2013
2 months to fully restore power as 90% poles lost in storm surge https://donate.oxfam.org.uk/emergency?pscid=ps_ggl_Emergencies_Philippines_GDN

http://anc.yahoo.com/video/first-aid-tips-during-supertyphoon-083020305.html

http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/OCHAPhilippinesTyphoonHaiyanSitrepNo.4.10November2013.pdf

doc02382320131110212404

11/11/2013 Tacloban now officially placed under a state of emergency

Red Cross report “absolute bedlam”

11-11-2013 19-16-15UK Govt promises £10 million

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/typhoon-haiyan-every-single-building-every-single-house-destroyed–governments-pledge-millions-but-tacloban-is-still-waiting-8933515.html

Super Typhoon Usagi is blasting through the Luzon Straight and heading for Hong Kong. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) in Pearl Harbor expects it to make landfall in 24 hours, probably early Monday in HK. Wind speeds are over 100 knots and max wave height is 43 feet. Hong Kong sea port has been shut down and over 300 flights have been cancelled. All flights are expected to be cancelled from this evening (Sunday). Track Usagi with links below.

Updated location :usagi landfall

Typhoons in Pacific Sept 2013

Typhoons in Pacific Sept 2013

NOAA Usagi data

NOAA Usagi data

Warning Red Alert USAGI

Warning Red Alert USAGI

Hong Kong Observatory issued No8 storm warning signal (on a scale 0-10)  with the following alert as landfall occured 100km N of HK:

Hong Kong No8 signal


Meanwhile, in total contrast, the UK can expect the benign and balmy warm air feed from the SW to continue as a trough in the Atlantic deepens and brings warm air from Iberia. If the anticyclonic gloom shifts then temperatures will soon lift into the low 20s and maybe 23c is possible.  Models after about wednesday remain uncertain.  A general breakdown of the current HIGH over the UK with a return to zonal conditions with a strenghtening jetstream by next weekend is likely.  Some models bring on quite siginifcantly unsettled Autumnal weather next weekend, with heavy rain and gales, but this is too far off and models remain too wobbly with extra-tropical uncertainty still lingering in the N Atlantic.  The Atlantic hurricane season remains very quiet and no further incursions by ET storms are expected this week so Humberto maybe the first and last ETS affecting the UK this year … but the hurricane season has a while to go yet. ETS=Extra-Tropical Storm.

Blocking HIGH for the UK… opposite of Typhoon!

block high sept 22 2013

Some useful links on Usagi…

http://news.yahoo.com/super-typhoon-usagi-path-destruction-063833155.html

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/archives/13969

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/VHHH.html

http://www.weather.gov.hk/wxinfo/currwx/tc1.htm

http://www.weather.gov.hk/wxinfo/currwx/tc_gis_e.htm

http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-24193201