Archives For heavy rain

2016-03-07_19-50-17

After a pleasant dry and sunny day in the SE, the satellite photo from this evening spells trouble ahead for mid-week with a deep depression over Iceland and an increasingly active Atlantic with a long frontal boundary trailing across the ocean into thick bands of cloud.

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Reigate and the south of England are set for a potentially very wet day on Wednesday as shown on the Euro4 chart below showing just 12 hours of rainfall during the morning.

Unusually high rainfall totals could mount up, possibly to around 30mm for the day on some models. However, models usually exaggerate rainfall totals but it is likely to be soggy!

A strengthening Atlantic jetstream is causing the convergence of moist sub-tropical and polar air at the Polar Front over the Atlantic Ocean.  The winds can be seen converging on the Atlantic chart below.

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The convergence of Polar and Tropical airmasses can also be seen on this chart showing the trajectory of winds arriving in the UK on Wednesday.  Note the surface tropical airmass circulates round the Azores high and meets the incoming Polar air from Canada.  It’s the less dense moisture laden maritime tropical air which is lifted over the cold, enhancing rain on frontal boundaries.

The 850hPa (15oom) temperature chart below shows the steep temperature gradient between contrasting airmasses across the Atlantic.  The water vapour Meteosat satellite picture shows a broad sweep of moisture laden air crossing the Atlantic from the Sargasso Sea.

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The boundary of the contrasting moist Polar and humid Tropical airmasses causes lift and this is set to rapidly form a depression over the UK later on Tuesday into Wednesday courtesy of a jetstreak to the west of the UK.

Large amounts of Atlantic moisture are set to converge in this low pressure as airmasses meet at frontal boundaries.

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The result over SE England is an unsually steep rise in dew point to 6-7C, indicative of increasingly moist air.

The atmospheric column looks to become exceptionally moist on Wednesday and saturated through to a height of 25,000 feet.  Cloud depth will make it a very dull day.

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Rainfall charts look impressive and, at the moment, show the rain arriving on Wednesday morning. Here is a medley of rainfall charts from 3 different models showing the potential for a deluge, though do note that models tend to exaggerate these totals this far out.

The 6 hourly total chart from GFS shows an extraordinary 26mm over parts of SE on Wednesday morning.  This would lead to local surface flooding on roads.

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Note this is not a convective event so no thunderstorms are likely, which makes such high rainfall even more unusual. It could be the biggest daily rainfall total for quite a while, over 36.6mm of rain in a day was recorded on 24 August 2015. Keep posted on twitter and check MetOffice forecasts for updates if travelling.  Some disruption could occur if this comes off as models suggest.  Milder and settled conditions are expected into the weekend after our mini-monsoon!

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2015-05-02_06-58-07

analysis chart shows HIGH edging out with moist Atlantic winds ready to pounce

The analysis chart above shows a weakening ridge of HIGH pressure over the UK being edged out north by a slow moving Atlantic LOW to the W/SW.  Reigate is still currently (Saturday am) in cool dull easterly winds generated by the HIGH but a significant switch in wind direction will take place over the next 12 hours into the bank holiday period as a wholly different mild and humid Sub-Tropical Atlantic air mass, with a source region round the Azores, takes hold from the SW.

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weather cross-section

A mild moist S/SW wind drives in from the Atlantic as the LOW edges north east tonight. The first mass of rain is edging onto radar from the SW and is expected to arrive in Reigate by around mid-late pm today.  Most rain is likely for places further north and west but the SE is still likely to pick up plenty of wet weather overnight with low cloud and rain into Sunday morning when it could turn heavy and showery for a while in the early morning as the trough passes directly overhead and pressure continues to fall. Things are expected to clear to brighter conditions later in the afternoon as pressure rises and winds turn more westerly. Cloud cover will hopefully break and cloud height will lift during the afternoon becoming more cumuliform.

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trough and fronts migrate north, showers follow

If the sun comes out then there could be a low risk of an odd heavy shower Sunday afternoon, possibly thundery, but these are more likely further north of our area where more unstable air makes progress across the Midlands and East Anglia.

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During Sunday winds will be occasionally blustery with moderate convective gusts possible, especially on hills and nearer the coast, and make the mild temperatures Tmax 16C feel considerably cooler. Temperatures overnight could hold up to a balmy 12-13C.

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Overnight Saturday-Sunday rain could linger as showers through the morning

Winds turn from SW to more southerly through Monday and pressure should up-tick slightly giving a mostly dry and warm day and less windy as things stand currently.  Troughs could progress east during Monday and build cloud and produce some showers.  More importantly there is a looming threat of something special for later Monday-Tuesday night.

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As the northern block (high over Greenland) holds on, the Atlantic LOW just west of Ireland will usher in a mild and moist S/SW flow of air from the continent.  An unstable LOW brewing in the topical Atlantic today (Saturday) is forecast to sweep up and intensify from Biscay later Monday and into Tuesday and this might bring heavy rain and winds to the south and SE and a possible thundery episode later Monday but more likely overnight into early Tuesday for SE.  The jetstream is dipping well south and is forecast to perk up and approach the UK from an unusually southerly direction by Tuesday.  If this happens the jetstream could deepen this low considerably, as modelled by some charts (latest UKMet shows 980mb).

Depending on the evolution we could find ourselves in the unstable left exit region of a jet where divergence aloft enhances convective action and creates heavy rain.  Warm air from the south will also contain more moisture.  A dry slot at mid-levels might also enhance instability (rising dry air cools more quickly increasing lapse rates and CAPE, enhancing lift).  High dew points near the surface temperature also encourage condensation and indicate extremely moist warm surface flows.

So all these ingredients stirred up could be a good recipe for some briefly moderate-severe weather in our region especially some briefly torrential rain, though totals are unlikely to amount to more than 10mm.  Gusty winds and gales near coasts could also accompany this system.  Latest metoffice chart shows pressure dipping to 980mb in the North Sea which is significantly LOW pressure for the time of year.

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coastal gales and convective gusts inland

However these episodes have a habit of tracking across Holland and merely clip Kent with thundery showers and miss us entirely.  Models also generally exaggerate these early on and then things flatten out nearer the time considerably.  Nevertheless, it is worth watching this develop as our first potential “warm plume” of the year.  If we take a direct hit the SE could have some heavy rain.

The GEFS summary below clearly shows the two main rainfall spikes tonight and Monday night.

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GEFS 850hPa temperatures and rainfall London

Later mid-week the LOW is expected to drift east across the UK bringing in a more westerly pattern so unsettled showery weather is likely for a while. Thereafter, a rise in pressure from a developing Euro high pressure may then take place from the south and settle things down for us in the SE, though this might only make faltering progress.

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faltering pressure rise later next week

Monday 25 Aug

Bank Holiday heavy rainfall wash out!

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Nasty LOW

Like much of the rest of England and Wales, Reigate and Surrey and the SE will see an August Bank Holiday wash-out tomorrow with lots of rain through the day, likely to be heaviest in the afternoon.  This has the potential to be a moderately severe wet weather event with 48 hour rainfall accumulation possibly topping 20mm in our region with some models taking this even higher to 30-40mm in places but this is probably over-egging things.  The WRF and NMM models push totals to 40-50mm in places while Hirlam and Euro4 (UKMET) keep a lid on rain at 20-30mm.  Anything approaching 40mm in 48 hours would be highly unusual for us in SE in Atlantic frontal depressions but it’s by no means impossible.  Remember that a “wet day” for us in the SE usually adds up to only around 10mm, so any totals over 20mm tomorrow will seem a significant deluge. Check the rogues gallery of models below for the worst rainfall offenders.  By the way, always Check the UKMET forecast for a professional look at the situation, this site is for a local perspective on weather and to generate enthusiasm and interest and share some more understanding of the air around us, especially in these times of such uncertainty regarding weather and climate.  As we approach another autumn and winter please share any of your weather stories and photos here or follow us @RGSweather on twitter.  Twitter is an amazing portal for sharing, learning and discussing the amazing fast moving world of weather… join it if you can.

Either way, surface water local flooding is likely to be a feature on roads tomorrow and the UKMET has issued a yellow warning for heavy rain.  You can expect a cloudy, dull, blustery, cool and wet day: so maybe snuggle up with the TV guide and check out some bank holiday films 🙂  and watch @RGSweather on twitter for exciting weather updates of course!

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The bank holiday soaking is courtesy of a low pressure in the Atlantic set to deepen to 981mb overnight as an unseasonably fast jetstream blasting through the Channel draws very moist air from the surface and lowers the surface pressure throwing all types of fronts our way and tightening isobars cross the SE during the course of the day. 

Today, the system lurked in the Atlantic as a significant band of cloud, as shown here by the VIIRS satellite at 13:00hrs.

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The system will bring rain first thing tomorrow to Reigate.  Initially rain looks to remain fairly light but will become progressively heavier through the day with even a low risk of heavy thundery showers as the cold front passes later pm and into Tuesday night (updated) before things gradually calm down Tues am. Whilst breezy through the day, max wind gusts are likely to arrive later in the afternoon but only 20mph.  This is certainly more a wet event than a wind event!

Into Monday morning: update:

Satellite pics show a rapidly developing occluded low pressure with tightly wrapped fronts.  The dark are on the sat pics represents high altitude air that is subsiding (sinking) into the depression.  This dry intrusion can cause increased instability around the cold front where it is forced to rise once more nearer the surface, increasing cloud formation.  Sometimes is can cause thundery doinwpours and some of the models are picking up on this by increasing rainfall totals even further for the SE as the frontal system passes over.  Interestingly this does not count as a “bomb” cyclogenesis which requires a 24mb fall in pressure over 24 hours (1mb per hour).  This has managed about half that pressure fall so far. 

2014-02-10_22-24-13

Four days of UKMO weather warnings and this hasn’t been unusual this winter!

Unsettled is an understatement, the weather is still on over-drive! Here’s a quick update on rain and storm events upcoming this week for Reigate, as the weekend summary didn’t quite do it justice!  The jetstream is still blasting across the Atlantic and giving birth to storm after storm.  Causes of this extraordinary jetstream are complex, but most “local” to the UK is the extreme contrast in temperature across North America with a buckling jetstream dragging frigid conditions across much of that continent.  This creates a steep temperature and pressure gradient that kick-starts a powerful jet across the Atlantic.  Storm force lows are being created amazingly quickly and most of them are being directed at the UK.

So, here’s a summary of storms on offer this week for Reigate and Surrey…

Tuesday: active front with cold air behind sweeps across the UK and arrives in Reigate am for heavy rain at lunchtime with gusty winds for a time. 10mm is possible in a short space of time which could lead to local FLOODING.  The front will whizz through quickly by the afternoon and leave a brighter but cooler feel pm even with possible wintry showers on a brisk cool W/NW wind.

Wednesday: looks grim… another tight storm approaches from the SW.  This one brings more gales to the SW, Wales but also pushes them further inland across the Midlands.  The south coast and the NE coast (on departure) will also see gales.  Wind for the SE will be pushing in off the Channel at possibly 50-60mph with 40mph gusts inland for inland places Reigate, peaking pm.  Rain is due to be heavy, especially pm and early evening and it will be cloudy all day.

Thursday… looks like a brighter showery day with possible heavy thundery showers at times. Friday / Saturday brings in the next storm with high rainfall totals adding to already saturated ground.  The likelihood of more flooding seems high at this stage which is terrible news for those places along the Thames that have been so badly hit today.

Three King storms?

December 21, 2013 — 1 Comment

Prepare for more stormy weather over the festive holiday… Reigate and Surrey is usually sheltered from the most extreme weather action but Mon/Tues could see significant weather even here, so watch forecasts if you are travelling. Check UKMO warnings for details. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/reigate-surrey#?tab=fiveDay&fcTime=1387584000

A powerful jetstream, blowing at up to 275mph across the Atlantic, is continuing to drag a train of storms to the UK through next week, though Christmas Day itself looks like a relatively quiet cool respite for us in Reigate.  Inland across the SE is usually sheltered from deep low pressure systems that track across the NW of Scotland: so far we have escaped the worst of these storms.  This week, there are 3 major storms that are due to arrive over the UK bringing gales and heavy rain to many parts.  Each storm brings progressively cool airmasses to the UK from an increasingly more polar origin.  So, let’s call these storms The Three Kings: Melchior, Caspar and Balthazar, the biggest of these is likely to be Caspar shown below in stark detail on the recent NOAA Atlantic forecast run. See if you can spot the UK under that mass of isobars and wind feathers (each feather = 10 knots).

hurricane force

hurricane force

First off, Melchior brings gold: heavy rain! Melchior has already arrived and is set to bring a windy and wet Saturday to the SE.  The notable feature of this storm is shown below as a fast moving cold front and remarkable clearance as polar maritime air sweeps in with showers.  Note how the wind direction is essentially from the Atlantic source, running over warm-ish sea surfaces to arrive here, hence our mild-ish temperatures. For the SE it is likely to be most windy around Saturday lunchtime, with gusts around 30-40mph and lots of rain adding up to 10-20mm during the course of the weekend. Local flooding possible.

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Reigate Priory Park 21 Dec around midday: wet!

Next up, Caspar: bearer of high winds and heavy rain! On Monday-Tuesday a LOW is set to rapidly intensify on the left-exit region of the jetstream.  A remarkably low central pressure of 928mb is forecast on current GFS and ECM runs, while the UKMO brings it down to 940mb (still v low). This storm exhibits all the hallmarks of rapid cyclogenesis and a “bomb” style depression: pressure falling very quickly (20mb in 3 hours) producing exceptionally high winds: knowing where these winds will occur is the tricky bit!  Caspar is set to track close to NW Scotland, with a jetstreak feature bringing unusually powerful winds across the SE on Monday night: so we may not escape the worst of this storm.  Model runs are currently bringing 70mph+ gusts to some parts of the SE.  So wind speeds could be higher than StJude for some locations: remember StJude was tightly located along the South Coast, Casper is a much bigger storm potentially covering the entire country in stormy weather at times.  These extreme wind forecasts may moderate (as the GFS usually does exaggerate things!) nearer the time but it is best to assume that Monday and Tuesday will be inclement weather for Reigate, the SE and the whole country: all models agree on this.  At 928mb, Caspar may not quite be a record breaker for low pressure but it is still a storm to watch, with a central pressure equivalent to a Cat4 hurricane!  (In 1884 a storm reputedly had a central pressure of 925.6mb, the lowest central pressure measured OVERLAND in UK; see below and strongest modern storm since 1993 Jan storm 914mb) Caspar unlikely to beat either of these records.  Caspar could bring snow to the north of the UK, especially to high ground.

Balthazar: the mysterious one as yet: after a quieter Christmas Day another storm is looking likely to emerge later next week that could drag down somewhat cooler air from the Poles.  This is way-off so details are sketchy but a gradual cooling with more direct influence of polar air might be a feature of late December. Throughout next week enjoy the festive period but if you are travelling it will be wise to check the UKMO forecast.

pics above from weatheronline, weatherweb.net and netweather

Our 3 “storm ” weekend, though not so stormy for all parts of the UK, finishes with the arrival of “Midge” in the S and SE on Sunday evening (we named our weekend storms Mary, Mungo and Midge… for ease of reference and for fun). Midge will deepen as he scoots across the southern half of the UK overnight as contrasting air masses meet.  A plunge of NW cool polar air meets a remarkably warm humid plume of tropical air from the SW. This time RAIN is the key feature and potentially more than 30 mm could fall in some places, which is a large amount to fall overnight in one storm in the SE. Totals more like 10-25mm overnight will be widespread and this is sufficient for local flooding on already wet ground. If 30mm falls over a wide area expect significant flooding.

While UKMO maintain their weather warning for heavy rain during this period, ESTOFEX, European storm forecasting experiment, have downgraded a warning of extreme gusts for SE as follows: “The surface cold front itself will move leisurely southward over Southern England and the channel region. It may be associated with a shallow and weakly electrified convective line, but (convectively enhanced) severe wind gusts are not expected any more, as the wind field relaxes quickly on the cold side of the frontal zone.”  So very gusty winds are unlikely for us but poss 30mph gusts during the night will make it seem pretty vile in the rain.

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Modeled predictions have slightly over-egged the previous two storms this weekend (and Mary was a complete miss!), especially here in the SE, so we can rather unscientifically notch down maximum rainfall figures with some confidence to get a realistic figure for widespread rainfall.  The GFS model has been accurate in track and arrival times of events but rather added value to the wind speeds and rainfall totals we finally got here in the SE. The NAE model seems to have performed better on rainfall totals.  Going with this one then, we can predict rainfall figures for this storm event from 10-25mm widely across the SE.

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UKMO has issued a weather warning for the South of the UK including our area in Surrey.

After a bright breezy day with a few light scattered showers around Reigate, expect more purposeful rain to arrive anytime around 18:00hrs and to become heavy through to the small hours.  For a time overnight there could be thunderstorms embedded in the heaviest rain, but mostly restricted to the south coast. There will also be a period of higher winds, possibly gusting 30mph in Reigate around midnight.  The rain may take a while to clear thereafter but should be clearing by morning rush hour. The lower temperature on Monday will be noticeable, as you will have put the cat out on Sunday night in temps of 12-13c and could easily wake up on Monday to temps only reaching around 5c.  Thereafter, Monday’s Tmax will be 9c in the cool polar winds from the north. Things warm up after Monday back to the seasonal norm.

We named the three UK “storms” this weekend Mary, Mungo and Midge. It’s interesting to note how different all three are in their characteristics. All have be driven by the jetstream. 

The jetstream remains very active across the UK all week with a brisk westerly flow but slightly fewer organised storms are expected.

a little warmer, but unsettled this week

a little warmer, but unsettled this week

Heavy rain alert and UKMO weather warning issued for Reigate and SE Thursday 3 Oct from afternoon and overnight through to small hours Friday.

An unstable plume of warm moist air will edge across the SE during Thursday afternoon and bring the potential for heavy rain as fronts provide lift to the air to produce possible thunderstorms through Thursday pm and evening.  Rainfall totals from showery outbursts will vary a lot locally, probably most further towards the south coast and further east, but could be as high as 20mm over the 24 hour period almost anywhere in S and SE corner during this time; most places will see a lot less, 6-10mm being widespread.  Winds will be 15mph initially from the SE but in heavy showers gusts could reach 25mph. The wind will veer to the S overnight. It will be increasingly humid during the day with Tmax of up to 20c, staying rather warm overnight but cooler and much brighter on Friday at 17c as cooler polar air follows the cold fronts with a few showers lingering as fronts move away leaving a brighter showery day.

Many ingredients for producing decent thundery activity are met during this period: including…

  • high dewpoints rising to 17c in the warm sector and as the cold fronts approach on Thursday evening: high dewpoints indicate a saturated atmosphere with plenty of moisture available for cloud and rain formation
  • warm air advection: which means a warm plume of air will be provided for several hours during Thursday pm but will be replaced by cooler air on Fri am.
  • wind shear: winds at the surface will intially be SE but at height will be a brisk warm southerly.  This change in direction and speed with height storms will not “stagnate” over ground they have just cooled with a soaking, so that thermal activity will be maintained with further warm air available to lift and grow bigger cumulonimbus clouds which roll through rapidly.  On the other hand, high rainfall totals will be subdued as showers move over relatively quickly.
  • Jetstream overhead (arriving later on Thursday evening) providing strong upper air divergence: this means air will be dragged off the surface as air rushes UPWARDS to fill the gap left by the rapidly disappearing air aloft.  This convergence on the surface means rapid uplift… perfect for building thunderstorms!
  • Some ingredients are missing or rather lackluster.  The most obvious one is a lack of heating during the day.  Thursday will be mostly cloudy and, being October, the heat from the sun will not provide as much buoyancy as in mid-summer. This is a critical ingredient for big thunderstorms.  This episode is also short duration and a cold front will rapidly replace the warm humid plume with cooler polar air, increasingly less showery, during Friday.
some ingredients are good to go

some ingredients are good to go

jetstream 3 oct

A few wet days this week and then things looking warmer, brighter and more beautiful from the weekend!  Whilst not a heatwave it will be dry and pleasantly warm, even building to 23c possibly next week.

Reigate and SE is in for some heavy rain from lunchtime onwards Tuesday as a frontal wave forms under a brisk NW jetstream lying across the country. A wedge of warm tropical air will surge up from the SW and blast briskly up the Channel with gale force winds up to 50mph, and meet the Polar air blowing in from the NW lying over the country. The difference in the temperature of these air masses is pronounced: with places to the North of the front seeing Tmax 10c and those well to the south coast possibly hitting the high teens 17c, though in a brisk wind it won’t feel like that!  In between, the tropical air will lift, creating thick cloud and rain. Reigate can expect around 11-12mm of rain, possibly more, starting lunchtime and getting heaviest in the afternoon and getting lighter through the night.

After a drier Wednesday and another wet day on Thursday, things are still looking up for a pleasant weekend as a HIGH builds giving us a much drier run through maybe even to the end of the month.

The UK is trapped in a “cold washing cycle” with no end in sight this week.  The meandering north-south flow of the jetstream mentioned earlier is partly to blame for fixing LOW pressure over the UK which simply is not budging. Our LOW is sandwiched between a HIGH to the west (Atlantic) and the east (Baltic) and is going nowhere for a while. Hence the heavy showers are set to continue and there is worse to come… starting tomorrow!
A deepening wave depression is set to form on the polar front and spin out from the Atlantic across SW, Central and Southern UK during Tuesday and Wednesday. Heavy rain, gusty winds, cool temperatures and even wet snow are predicted. The worst of this will be in the south west, Wales and parts of central southern England but Reigate and the SE will get continuous rain for 24 hours peaking in intensity overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. Once the fronts move away during Wednesday morning cool unstable north westerly winds and warming surface temperatures will create unstable conditions with a risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday and Thursday pm.
Rain is likely to arrive Reigate Tuesday during the morning and it won’t stop until sometime Wednesday am, to be replaced by heavy showers and a risk thunderstorms. Reigate could see >30mm of rain before the end of the week.
The weekend looks utterly dreadful, especially for the SE: LOW pressure swings close to the SE from the continent and this could bring heavy thundery showers close to Reigate for the weekend.

Throughout the convective weather later this week: points to watch out for are tremendous cumulonimbus clouds and even tornadic conditions with mamatus clouds and perhaps the odd funnel cloud?
Some models show a ridge of HIGH pressure building from the west next week – this is forecast to bring a decent end to May.

Classic short wave depression: the following synoptic charts show how the wave depression forms out of the polar front jet stream.  An innocent kink in the front is the first indication of lower pressure.  Thereafter the fronts become more pronounced, central pressure falls and the whole circulation moves across the UK. Note that, throughout this episode, the “mother low” to the north of Scotland barely moves.

p.s. “cold washing cycle” is not a meteorological term!


WEATHER ALERT FOR UK AND REIGATE:

Saturday am: heavy snow falling across our region: check twitter for updates.  A major wintry weather event is unfolding tomorrow and over the weekend across the UK.  This could bring potentially hazardous weather Friday through Sunday almost anywhere in the UK so if you are travelling please take care and check weather warnings for your destination. Reigate remains comparatively sheltered throughout but even here we have the threat of seriously miserable and cold weather with an evil mix of heavy rain, cold winds and sleet turning to snow over this weekend.  Snow amounts and depths for us still uncertain though.

Cold Polar Easterly winds will increasingly undercut and push back the advancing warm air brought in by a vigorous depression out west in the Atlantic. Where these air masses meet is essentially where the heaviest rain and snow will fall: the fronts move north on Friday and then move south on Saturday as the cold air wins out over the warm: it is the move south on Saturday which could bring some SNOW to Reigate. The SW is due to get torrential rain, whilst anywhere north of the M4, especially on high ground, could see heavy snow and drifting in high winds. Reigate remains comparatively sheltered throughout this episode BUT if you are travelling anywhere else do heed weather warnings.
Whilst Reigate will escape the worst of all this, we are due to have a pretty cold, windy, very wet and sleety and at times snowy weekend weather wise!
Friday sees fronts crossing the country and bringing increasing rain to Reigate during the day. Overnight into Saturday might see this rain turning increasingly icy and sleety. Wind chill 0°C to -4°C.
Saturday will be a truly horrible day with temperatures falling throughout. Cold winds (feeling -5°C) and heavy rain will turn increasingly sleety and turn to snow anytime but with greatest risk in the afternoon.  By the afternoon, however, the heaviest precipitation should be dying out over Reigate so any snowfall should be light by that stage.  Saturday could see totals over 20mm of precipitation (mostly in the morning as rain); snow lying could amount from 0cm to a few cm especially on the Downs by evening. Any snow conditions will be worse to the north of the region and over high ground.
Sunday sees even colder weather and a threat of further snowfall from nearby fronts to the south.  Still uncertainty around this so keep watching forecasts. Wind chill -8°C so feeling very cold indeed.  Drier later though.
The rest of the week looks cold, frosty and dry with gradual recovery of temperatures and the hint of more spring-like temperatures next weekend!
Take care this weekend if you are travelling anywhere in the UK: floods in the SW, blizzards and snow up North. If you don’t need to travel, you should probably wait until Sunday or Monday when things have calmed down.

What a difference a year makes: check out the daffodil pictures: taken one year apart!

update Friday pm: much as stated above with main snow zone staying north of London for longer on some models: filthy horrible day mostly sleet icy rain Sat; poss light snow later pm as cold air arrives; cold wind; colder on sunday and into next week. Cold and frosty next week. #notspring